Recent numerical weather model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon delivering slightly cooler, drier air while upper-level disturbances maintain cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity around 70-80% and light easterly winds further stabilize minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent daily extracts showing overnight values of 25-27°C. Isolated showers may locally suppress or enhance readings by a degree, but no tropical systems or major shifts appear imminent. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature observations will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
27°C 51%
26°C 30%
28°C 20%
23°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
51%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 30%
28°C 20%
23°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$60 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$106 Vol.
6%
26°C
$459 Vol.
30%
27°C
$620 Vol.
51%
28°C
$951 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon delivering slightly cooler, drier air while upper-level disturbances maintain cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity around 70-80% and light easterly winds further stabilize minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent daily extracts showing overnight values of 25-27°C. Isolated showers may locally suppress or enhance readings by a degree, but no tropical systems or major shifts appear imminent. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature observations will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,964Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon delivering slightly cooler, drier air while upper-level disturbances maintain cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity around 70-80% and light easterly winds further stabilize minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent daily extracts showing overnight values of 25-27°C. Isolated showers may locally suppress or enhance readings by a degree, but no tropical systems or major shifts appear imminent. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature observations will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,964Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon delivering slightly cooler, drier air while upper-level disturbances maintain cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity around 70-80% and light easterly winds further stabilize minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent daily extracts showing overnight values of 25-27°C. Isolated showers may locally suppress or enhance readings by a degree, but no tropical systems or major shifts appear imminent. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature observations will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti