**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear, stable conditions with light winds and no significant synoptic cooling.** This aligns with late-September subtropical norms, where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C absent typhoon influences or strong northerly flow. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects verified station data showing the daily minimum at that precise threshold, with the high reaching 29°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, localized microclimate effects at the official site, or an undetected sensor anomaly—though none appear in preliminary reports. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in settled meteorological records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C o inferiore <1%
$21,230 Vol.
$21,230 Vol.
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C o inferiore <1%
$21,230 Vol.
$21,230 Vol.
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$81 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,240 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,264 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear, stable conditions with light winds and no significant synoptic cooling.** This aligns with late-September subtropical norms, where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C absent typhoon influences or strong northerly flow. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects verified station data showing the daily minimum at that precise threshold, with the high reaching 29°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, localized microclimate effects at the official site, or an undetected sensor anomaly—though none appear in preliminary reports. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in settled meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,230Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear, stable conditions with light winds and no significant synoptic cooling.** This aligns with late-September subtropical norms, where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C absent typhoon influences or strong northerly flow. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects verified station data showing the daily minimum at that precise threshold, with the high reaching 29°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, localized microclimate effects at the official site, or an undetected sensor anomaly—though none appear in preliminary reports. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in settled meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,230Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear, stable conditions with light winds and no significant synoptic cooling.** This aligns with late-September subtropical norms, where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C absent typhoon influences or strong northerly flow. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects verified station data showing the daily minimum at that precise threshold, with the high reaching 29°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, localized microclimate effects at the official site, or an undetected sensor anomaly—though none appear in preliminary reports. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in settled meteorological records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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