Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 high, anchors trader positioning for the September release, with the largest probability clusters concentrated in the 53.0–55.9 range. Moderating new orders, softer backlogs, and cooling employment growth point to some loss of momentum after mid-year strength, while robust production and still-low customer inventories provide a floor. Persistent input price pressures at 71.1, lengthening supplier deliveries, and ongoing tariff and geopolitical uncertainties continue to weigh on sentiment. Market-implied odds reflect these mixed signals, with the closely bunched probabilities underscoring uncertainty ahead of the October 1 release and any potential shifts in demand or cost trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato54,0 a 54,9 21%
53,0 a 53,9 20%
55,0 a 55,9 19%
52,0 a 52,9 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
<50,0
1%
Da 50,0 a 50,9
1%
51,0 a 51,9
6%
52,0 a 52,9
17%
53,0 a 53,9
20%
54,0 a 54,9
21%
55,0 a 55,9
21%
56,0 a 56,9
15%
57,0 - 57,9
13%
58,0+
4%
54,0 a 54,9 21%
53,0 a 53,9 20%
55,0 a 55,9 19%
52,0 a 52,9 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
<50,0
$205 Vol.
1%
Da 50,0 a 50,9
$982 Vol.
1%
51,0 a 51,9
$702 Vol.
6%
52,0 a 52,9
$141 Vol.
17%
53,0 a 53,9
$725 Vol.
20%
54,0 a 54,9
$2,093 Vol.
21%
55,0 a 55,9
$185 Vol.
21%
56,0 a 56,9
$78 Vol.
15%
57,0 - 57,9
$2,367 Vol.
13%
58,0+
$214 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 high, anchors trader positioning for the September release, with the largest probability clusters concentrated in the 53.0–55.9 range. Moderating new orders, softer backlogs, and cooling employment growth point to some loss of momentum after mid-year strength, while robust production and still-low customer inventories provide a floor. Persistent input price pressures at 71.1, lengthening supplier deliveries, and ongoing tariff and geopolitical uncertainties continue to weigh on sentiment. Market-implied odds reflect these mixed signals, with the closely bunched probabilities underscoring uncertainty ahead of the October 1 release and any potential shifts in demand or cost trends.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$7,692Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 high, anchors trader positioning for the September release, with the largest probability clusters concentrated in the 53.0–55.9 range. Moderating new orders, softer backlogs, and cooling employment growth point to some loss of momentum after mid-year strength, while robust production and still-low customer inventories provide a floor. Persistent input price pressures at 71.1, lengthening supplier deliveries, and ongoing tariff and geopolitical uncertainties continue to weigh on sentiment. Market-implied odds reflect these mixed signals, with the closely bunched probabilities underscoring uncertainty ahead of the October 1 release and any potential shifts in demand or cost trends.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$7,692Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 high, anchors trader positioning for the September release, with the largest probability clusters concentrated in the 53.0–55.9 range. Moderating new orders, softer backlogs, and cooling employment growth point to some loss of momentum after mid-year strength, while robust production and still-low customer inventories provide a floor. Persistent input price pressures at 71.1, lengthening supplier deliveries, and ongoing tariff and geopolitical uncertainties continue to weigh on sentiment. Market-implied odds reflect these mixed signals, with the closely bunched probabilities underscoring uncertainty ahead of the October 1 release and any potential shifts in demand or cost trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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