**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the day's peak in Qingdao, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and current conditions on September 10, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds of 3–5 levels moderating coastal heating. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon maxima of 26–27°C before declining, consistent with Qingdao’s temperate monsoon climate where September averages hover around 24–26°C and diurnal ranges are limited by marine influence. The 47% implied probability for exactly 27°C arises from tight clustering in numerical weather prediction outputs, with minimal model spread on this date. The secondary 28°C outcome (28%) captures potential for brief radiative warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, while 26°C (16%) accounts for slightly stronger onshore flow or persistent cloudiness suppressing the peak. Historical September data for the region shows rare excursions above 29°C without strong subtropical ridge influence, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes. No significant synoptic changes or heat advisories have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 10 settembre?
27°C 48%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
48%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$245 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$425 Vol.
1%
25°C
$273 Vol.
1%
26°C
$663 Vol.
13%
27°C
$3,234 Vol.
48%
28°C
$1,822 Vol.
28%
29°C
$717 Vol.
7%
30°C
$101 Vol.
2%
31°C
$230 Vol.
1%
32°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the day's peak in Qingdao, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and current conditions on September 10, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds of 3–5 levels moderating coastal heating. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon maxima of 26–27°C before declining, consistent with Qingdao’s temperate monsoon climate where September averages hover around 24–26°C and diurnal ranges are limited by marine influence.
The 47% implied probability for exactly 27°C arises from tight clustering in numerical weather prediction outputs, with minimal model spread on this date. The secondary 28°C outcome (28%) captures potential for brief radiative warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, while 26°C (16%) accounts for slightly stronger onshore flow or persistent cloudiness suppressing the peak. Historical September data for the region shows rare excursions above 29°C without strong subtropical ridge influence, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes. No significant synoptic changes or heat advisories have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,151Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the day's peak in Qingdao, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and current conditions on September 10, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds of 3–5 levels moderating coastal heating. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon maxima of 26–27°C before declining, consistent with Qingdao’s temperate monsoon climate where September averages hover around 24–26°C and diurnal ranges are limited by marine influence.
The 47% implied probability for exactly 27°C arises from tight clustering in numerical weather prediction outputs, with minimal model spread on this date. The secondary 28°C outcome (28%) captures potential for brief radiative warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, while 26°C (16%) accounts for slightly stronger onshore flow or persistent cloudiness suppressing the peak. Historical September data for the region shows rare excursions above 29°C without strong subtropical ridge influence, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes. No significant synoptic changes or heat advisories have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,151Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the day's peak in Qingdao, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and current conditions on September 10, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds of 3–5 levels moderating coastal heating. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon maxima of 26–27°C before declining, consistent with Qingdao’s temperate monsoon climate where September averages hover around 24–26°C and diurnal ranges are limited by marine influence. The 47% implied probability for exactly 27°C arises from tight clustering in numerical weather prediction outputs, with minimal model spread on this date. The secondary 28°C outcome (28%) captures potential for brief radiative warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected, while 26°C (16%) accounts for slightly stronger onshore flow or persistent cloudiness suppressing the peak. Historical September data for the region shows rare excursions above 29°C without strong subtropical ridge influence, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes. No significant synoptic changes or heat advisories have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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