**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 11, 2026, at a 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning reflects India Meteorological Department observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near this threshold amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers associated with the active monsoon. Recent rainfall totals well above average have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with current surface conditions and dew points in the upper 20s °C. Official resolution depends on the verified maximum at the primary Lucknow station, typically reported by evening. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized heat buildup could push readings higher, though current radar and model runs indicate low likelihood of such a shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow l'11 settembre?
31°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,508 Vol.
$21,508 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,508 Vol.
$21,508 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 11, 2026, at a 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning reflects India Meteorological Department observations and short-range model guidance showing a peak near this threshold amid widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers associated with the active monsoon. Recent rainfall totals well above average have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with current surface conditions and dew points in the upper 20s °C. Official resolution depends on the verified maximum at the primary Lucknow station, typically reported by evening. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized heat buildup could push readings higher, though current radar and model runs indicate low likelihood of such a shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti