Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 80°F for New York City on September 11, driven by clearing skies behind a cold front and moderate northwest flow that limits afternoon warming. This positions the 80-81°F bin as the market leader, with nearby ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. The projected value sits slightly above the long-term September 11 average high of roughly 78°F, consistent with seasonal variability but tempered by post-frontal air mass characteristics. Latest runs show limited model spread, supporting the current implied probabilities while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome toward the 78-79°F or 82-83°F brackets before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York l'11 settembre?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88°F o superiore
2%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
$20 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$49 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$34 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$477 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$254 Vol.
46%
82-83°F
$358 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$24 Vol.
2%
88°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 80°F for New York City on September 11, driven by clearing skies behind a cold front and moderate northwest flow that limits afternoon warming. This positions the 80-81°F bin as the market leader, with nearby ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. The projected value sits slightly above the long-term September 11 average high of roughly 78°F, consistent with seasonal variability but tempered by post-frontal air mass characteristics. Latest runs show limited model spread, supporting the current implied probabilities while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome toward the 78-79°F or 82-83°F brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,236Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 80°F for New York City on September 11, driven by clearing skies behind a cold front and moderate northwest flow that limits afternoon warming. This positions the 80-81°F bin as the market leader, with nearby ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. The projected value sits slightly above the long-term September 11 average high of roughly 78°F, consistent with seasonal variability but tempered by post-frontal air mass characteristics. Latest runs show limited model spread, supporting the current implied probabilities while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome toward the 78-79°F or 82-83°F brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,236Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 80°F for New York City on September 11, driven by clearing skies behind a cold front and moderate northwest flow that limits afternoon warming. This positions the 80-81°F bin as the market leader, with nearby ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. The projected value sits slightly above the long-term September 11 average high of roughly 78°F, consistent with seasonal variability but tempered by post-frontal air mass characteristics. Latest runs show limited model spread, supporting the current implied probabilities while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome toward the 78-79°F or 82-83°F brackets before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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