Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 11, limiting solar heating and supporting daytime maxima clustered around 18–21°C. This follows a period of variable late-summer flow after earlier warmth, with average September 11 highs historically near 20.3°C. Model spread centers on modest diurnal ranges under overcast or broken cloud decks, reducing the chance of exceeding 21°C while keeping sub-18°C outcomes less probable absent stronger cooling. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of official DWD verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco l'11 settembre?
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C o superiore 21%
18°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C o superiore
21%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C o superiore 21%
18°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$471 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$510 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$482 Vol.
1%
15°C
$442 Vol.
2%
16°C
$70 Vol.
3%
17°C
$91 Vol.
7%
18°C
$342 Vol.
17%
19°C
$723 Vol.
29%
20°C
$459 Vol.
27%
21°C o superiore
$602 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 11, limiting solar heating and supporting daytime maxima clustered around 18–21°C. This follows a period of variable late-summer flow after earlier warmth, with average September 11 highs historically near 20.3°C. Model spread centers on modest diurnal ranges under overcast or broken cloud decks, reducing the chance of exceeding 21°C while keeping sub-18°C outcomes less probable absent stronger cooling. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,240Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 11, limiting solar heating and supporting daytime maxima clustered around 18–21°C. This follows a period of variable late-summer flow after earlier warmth, with average September 11 highs historically near 20.3°C. Model spread centers on modest diurnal ranges under overcast or broken cloud decks, reducing the chance of exceeding 21°C while keeping sub-18°C outcomes less probable absent stronger cooling. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,240Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 11, limiting solar heating and supporting daytime maxima clustered around 18–21°C. This follows a period of variable late-summer flow after earlier warmth, with average September 11 highs historically near 20.3°C. Model spread centers on modest diurnal ranges under overcast or broken cloud decks, reducing the chance of exceeding 21°C while keeping sub-18°C outcomes less probable absent stronger cooling. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of official DWD verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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