**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops. Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco l'11 settembre?
15°C o superiore 50%
5°C o inferiore 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
47%
6°C
9%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
13%
12°C
8%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C o superiore
50%
15°C o superiore 50%
5°C o inferiore 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
$83 Vol.
47%
6°C
$23 Vol.
9%
7°C
$0 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
29%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$571 Vol.
8%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops.
Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$677Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops.
Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$677Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major models (ECMWF, ICON, GFS) and agencies point to a minimum temperature in Munich of roughly 9–11°C overnight into September 11, 2026, consistent with the historical average low of 10.6°C for the date.** Mild westerly or southwesterly flow under weak high pressure supports limited cold-air advection, while partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds (typically 2–5 m/s) will moderate radiative cooling. Dew points near 8–10°C act as a floor, preventing sharper drops. Trader sentiment reflects genuine model uncertainty and resolution sensitivity around these thresholds. Slight variations in cloud cover, timing of any clearing, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of probabilities around 9°C, 10°C, and the 15°C+ bin. Historical September extremes (record low 1.5°C, but recent years mostly 8–13°C) underscore that current conditions favor near-normal values rather than outliers. Final overnight model updates and observational adjustments before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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