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icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

Eduardo Gomes 77%

Gaguim 9.0%

Alexandre Guimarães 8.7%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$26,997 Vol.

Eduardo Gomes 77%

Gaguim 9.0%

Alexandre Guimarães 8.7%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$26,997 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$15,742 Vol.

77%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$1,507 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$2,351 Vol.

9%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$809 Vol.

<1%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$757 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$811 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a clear lead in the Tocantins Senate race for one of two seats decided by plurality on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages from his incumbency, party infrastructure, and name recognition across multiple surveys conducted through late August. Stimulated scenarios show him ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), with the rest of the 13-candidate field—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—trailing further behind amid high undecided shares and vote fragmentation. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formations have not altered this positioning, while the single-round format and dual-vote mechanics favor established frontrunners. Trader consensus on Gomes for first place aligns with these patterns, though late campaign shifts or turnout variations among the state's 1.18 million voters could still influence final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,997
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a clear lead in the Tocantins Senate race for one of two seats decided by plurality on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages from his incumbency, party infrastructure, and name recognition across multiple surveys conducted through late August. Stimulated scenarios show him ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), with the rest of the 13-candidate field—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—trailing further behind amid high undecided shares and vote fragmentation. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formations have not altered this positioning, while the single-round format and dual-vote mechanics favor established frontrunners. Trader consensus on Gomes for first place aligns with these patterns, though late campaign shifts or turnout variations among the state's 1.18 million voters could still influence final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,997
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Alexandre Guimarães remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

Alexandre Guimarães remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

55%
Oui
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

83%
Oui
icon for Will Esperidião Amin win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Esperidião Amin win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

39%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Gomes » à 77%, suivi de « Gaguim » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 77¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » a généré $27K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est « Eduardo Gomes » à 77%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Gaguim » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.