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icon for Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place

Esperidião Amin 39.0%

Carlos Bolsonaro 28%

Carol de Toni 21%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$28,926 Vol.

Esperidião Amin 39.0%

Carlos Bolsonaro 28%

Carol de Toni 21%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$28,926 Vol.

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$5,114 Vol.

39%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$8,005 Vol.

28%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$7,827 Vol.

21%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$1,261 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$649 Vol.

1%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carol

Carol

$854 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$540 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$728 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$465 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate contest features two seats decided by plurality on October 4, 2026, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Recent August polling shows Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL) locked in a technical tie for the top positions, with Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, and de Toni at 12% in combined vote intention, alongside high undecided shares near 23%. The PL ticket pairs Bolsonaro, who relocated from Rio de Janeiro, with de Toni, a leading state deputy, behind Governor Jorginho Mello’s re-election bid, while Amin aligns with the opposing PSD-MDB front supporting João Rodrigues. This right-wing fragmentation, combined with Amin’s incumbency and local record versus the PL duo’s national profile and base mobilization, sustains the narrow spread in trader probabilities for first place. Additional late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among conservative voters, or campaign events could shift the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,926
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina Senate contest features two seats decided by plurality on October 4, 2026, with voters selecting two distinct candidates. Recent August polling shows Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL) locked in a technical tie for the top positions, with Amin at 19%, Bolsonaro at 16%, and de Toni at 12% in combined vote intention, alongside high undecided shares near 23%. The PL ticket pairs Bolsonaro, who relocated from Rio de Janeiro, with de Toni, a leading state deputy, behind Governor Jorginho Mello’s re-election bid, while Amin aligns with the opposing PSD-MDB front supporting João Rodrigues. This right-wing fragmentation, combined with Amin’s incumbency and local record versus the PL duo’s national profile and base mobilization, sustains the narrow spread in trader probabilities for first place. Additional late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among conservative voters, or campaign events could shift the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,926
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina en 2026 ?

Carlos Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina en 2026 ?

41%
Oui
icon for Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

50%
icon for Cid Gomes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

Cid Gomes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

77%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Esperidião Amin » à 39%, suivi de « Carlos Bolsonaro » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place » a généré $28.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place » est « Esperidião Amin » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carlos Bolsonaro » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale de Santa Catarina : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.