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icon for Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place
Élections·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place

icon for Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place
Élections·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place

Michelle Bolsonaro 83%

Leila do Vôlei 2.5%

Bia Kicis 1.4%

Erika Kokay 1.1%

Polymarket

$28,214 Vol.

Michelle Bolsonaro 83%

Leila do Vôlei 2.5%

Bia Kicis 1.4%

Erika Kokay 1.1%

Polymarket

$28,214 Vol.

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,178 Vol.

83%

icon for Leila do Vôlei

Leila do Vôlei

$4,157 Vol.

3%

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$4,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Kokay

Erika Kokay

$2,021 Vol.

1%

icon for Guto Felício dos Santos

Guto Felício dos Santos

$794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Avenir Rosa

Avenir Rosa

$801 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Horn

David Horn

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professeur Guilherme Amorim

Professeur Guilherme Amorim

$795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Fonseca

Ronaldo Fonseca

$674 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastião Coelho

Sebastião Coelho

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marley

Marley

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tiago

Tiago

$489 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zanata

Zanata

$530 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,214
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,214
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

53%
Oui
icon for Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

53%
icon for Eduardo Braga remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Eduardo Braga remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

83%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Michelle Bolsonaro » à 83%, suivi de « Leila do Vôlei » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place » a généré $28.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place » est « Michelle Bolsonaro » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Leila do Vôlei » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du Sénat du District Fédéral : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.