Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with the Moderate Party consistently placed third in most surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Moderates for third place, as the Sweden Democrats have maintained a clear margin over the Moderates in recent Novus and other aggregates. Late-campaign tightening between the blocs, including the Liberals rising above the 4% threshold, has introduced some volatility but has not altered the established party ranking in the latest data. Historical patterns of limited last-minute swings in Swedish elections further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$85,700 Vol.
$85,700 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
17%
Moderate Party (M)
84%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$85,700 Vol.
$85,700 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,498 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$20,332 Vol.
17%
Moderate Party (M)
$35,126 Vol.
84%
Centre Party (C)
$4,842 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$6,104 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$4,612 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with the Moderate Party consistently placed third in most surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Moderates for third place, as the Sweden Democrats have maintained a clear margin over the Moderates in recent Novus and other aggregates. Late-campaign tightening between the blocs, including the Liberals rising above the 4% threshold, has introduced some volatility but has not altered the established party ranking in the latest data. Historical patterns of limited last-minute swings in Swedish elections further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$85,700End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with the Moderate Party consistently placed third in most surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Moderates for third place, as the Sweden Democrats have maintained a clear margin over the Moderates in recent Novus and other aggregates. Late-campaign tightening between the blocs, including the Liberals rising above the 4% threshold, has introduced some volatility but has not altered the established party ranking in the latest data. Historical patterns of limited last-minute swings in Swedish elections further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$85,700End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with the Moderate Party consistently placed third in most surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Moderates for third place, as the Sweden Democrats have maintained a clear margin over the Moderates in recent Novus and other aggregates. Late-campaign tightening between the blocs, including the Liberals rising above the 4% threshold, has introduced some volatility but has not altered the established party ranking in the latest data. Historical patterns of limited last-minute swings in Swedish elections further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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