Amy Acton holds a narrow trader consensus edge over Vivek Ramaswamy in this open-seat contest, reflecting a toss-up environment where recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied. Key drivers include Ramaswamy’s strong Republican primary performance backed by a Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage, contrasted with Acton’s unopposed Democratic nomination and emphasis on affordability amid economic concerns. The September 6 incident at the Canfield Fair, where Acton faced an alleged physical attack by a registered Republican with ties to GOP figures, has drawn attention to campaign tone. Acton’s campaign has also declined debate invitations, citing Ramaswamy’s advertising. With the November 3 vote approaching and Ohio’s recent Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics, these factors sustain the market’s close pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$196,830 Vol.
$196,830 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Amy Acton (D)
56%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
46%
$196,830 Vol.
$196,830 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Amy Acton (D)
$89,600 Vol.
56%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
$107,230 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Acton holds a narrow trader consensus edge over Vivek Ramaswamy in this open-seat contest, reflecting a toss-up environment where recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied. Key drivers include Ramaswamy’s strong Republican primary performance backed by a Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage, contrasted with Acton’s unopposed Democratic nomination and emphasis on affordability amid economic concerns. The September 6 incident at the Canfield Fair, where Acton faced an alleged physical attack by a registered Republican with ties to GOP figures, has drawn attention to campaign tone. Acton’s campaign has also declined debate invitations, citing Ramaswamy’s advertising. With the November 3 vote approaching and Ohio’s recent Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics, these factors sustain the market’s close pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$196,830End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Acton holds a narrow trader consensus edge over Vivek Ramaswamy in this open-seat contest, reflecting a toss-up environment where recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied. Key drivers include Ramaswamy’s strong Republican primary performance backed by a Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage, contrasted with Acton’s unopposed Democratic nomination and emphasis on affordability amid economic concerns. The September 6 incident at the Canfield Fair, where Acton faced an alleged physical attack by a registered Republican with ties to GOP figures, has drawn attention to campaign tone. Acton’s campaign has also declined debate invitations, citing Ramaswamy’s advertising. With the November 3 vote approaching and Ohio’s recent Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics, these factors sustain the market’s close pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$196,830End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Acton holds a narrow trader consensus edge over Vivek Ramaswamy in this open-seat contest, reflecting a toss-up environment where recent polling averages show the candidates essentially tied. Key drivers include Ramaswamy’s strong Republican primary performance backed by a Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage, contrasted with Acton’s unopposed Democratic nomination and emphasis on affordability amid economic concerns. The September 6 incident at the Canfield Fair, where Acton faced an alleged physical attack by a registered Republican with ties to GOP figures, has drawn attention to campaign tone. Acton’s campaign has also declined debate invitations, citing Ramaswamy’s advertising. With the November 3 vote approaching and Ohio’s recent Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics, these factors sustain the market’s close pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions