Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains open because Morena holds a clear but not decisive lead in party preference while its internal selection process is highly competitive. Recent June–July 2026 surveys show Carlos Torres Piña ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco, Fabiola Alanís Sámano, and Gladyz Butanda Macías in Morena’s internal polling, yet none commands majority support. Head-to-head matchups indicate Grecia Quiroz, running as an independent or with other backing, can close the gap or lead in some scenarios, reflecting voter openness to non-Morena options. High undecided shares and fragmented opposition candidacies from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano keep overall probabilities dispersed. Primary separation will likely follow Morena’s final nominee choice, opposition consolidation, and any shifts in state-level security or economic conditions before the formal campaign begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCarlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 21.0%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$45,587 Vol.
$45,587 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
23%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
Carlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 21.0%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$45,587 Vol.
$45,587 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
23%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains open because Morena holds a clear but not decisive lead in party preference while its internal selection process is highly competitive. Recent June–July 2026 surveys show Carlos Torres Piña ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco, Fabiola Alanís Sámano, and Gladyz Butanda Macías in Morena’s internal polling, yet none commands majority support. Head-to-head matchups indicate Grecia Quiroz, running as an independent or with other backing, can close the gap or lead in some scenarios, reflecting voter openness to non-Morena options. High undecided shares and fragmented opposition candidacies from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano keep overall probabilities dispersed. Primary separation will likely follow Morena’s final nominee choice, opposition consolidation, and any shifts in state-level security or economic conditions before the formal campaign begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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