Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 69%
Vanderlan Cardoso 6.0%
Gracinha Caiado 4.5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 3.9%
$37,517 Vol.
$37,517 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
69%
Vanderlan Cardoso
6%
Gracinha Caiado
5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
4%
Gustavo Mendanha
7%
Iure Castro
<1%
Cintia Dias
<1%
Ernesto Roller
<1%
Guilherme Darques
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 69%
Vanderlan Cardoso 6.0%
Gracinha Caiado 4.5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil 3.9%
$37,517 Vol.
$37,517 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$30,410 Vol.
69%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$900 Vol.
6%
Gracinha Caiado
$2,573 Vol.
5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$734 Vol.
4%
Gustavo Mendanha
$470 Vol.
7%
Iure Castro
$376 Vol.
<1%
Cintia Dias
$507 Vol.
<1%
Ernesto Roller
$443 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Darques
$388 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$353 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$363 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$37,517End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,517End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Goiás shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats, with Gracinha Caiado consistently leading in combined first- and second-choice voter intentions while Gustavo Gayer holds a firm position in the second slot. September surveys, including IGAPE and Directa, place Gayer between 18% and 20% in aggregated support, often ahead of or statistically tied with Gustavo Mendanha and other contenders such as Vanderlan Cardoso and Zacharias Calil. This positioning, reinforced by Gayer’s PL affiliation and prior federal deputy performance, underpins trader consensus on his second-place prospects ahead of the October 4 vote. Lower-probability outcomes reflect limited polling visibility for the remaining registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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