Byron Donalds holds a strong edge in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis due to Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, with the party winning every gubernatorial contest since 1998 and the state shifting further right in recent cycles. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a fundraising haul exceeding $110 million, while Democrat David Jolly won his primary but faces structural challenges including prior electoral losses. Post-primary polling aggregates show Donalds ahead by roughly four to six points, though the contest remains within margins that could shift with turnout or late developments. Recent endorsements from groups like the Florida Fraternal Order of Police and targeted advertising on issues such as insurance reinforce Donalds’ position heading into November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,211 Vol.
$59,211 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
83%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$59,211 Vol.
$59,211 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$27,810 Vol.
83%
David Jolly (D)
$31,401 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong edge in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis due to Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, with the party winning every gubernatorial contest since 1998 and the state shifting further right in recent cycles. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a fundraising haul exceeding $110 million, while Democrat David Jolly won his primary but faces structural challenges including prior electoral losses. Post-primary polling aggregates show Donalds ahead by roughly four to six points, though the contest remains within margins that could shift with turnout or late developments. Recent endorsements from groups like the Florida Fraternal Order of Police and targeted advertising on issues such as insurance reinforce Donalds’ position heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$59,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong edge in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis due to Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, with the party winning every gubernatorial contest since 1998 and the state shifting further right in recent cycles. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a fundraising haul exceeding $110 million, while Democrat David Jolly won his primary but faces structural challenges including prior electoral losses. Post-primary polling aggregates show Donalds ahead by roughly four to six points, though the contest remains within margins that could shift with turnout or late developments. Recent endorsements from groups like the Florida Fraternal Order of Police and targeted advertising on issues such as insurance reinforce Donalds’ position heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$59,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds a strong edge in the race to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis due to Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, with the party winning every gubernatorial contest since 1998 and the state shifting further right in recent cycles. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a fundraising haul exceeding $110 million, while Democrat David Jolly won his primary but faces structural challenges including prior electoral losses. Post-primary polling aggregates show Donalds ahead by roughly four to six points, though the contest remains within margins that could shift with turnout or late developments. Recent endorsements from groups like the Florida Fraternal Order of Police and targeted advertising on issues such as insurance reinforce Donalds’ position heading into November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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