The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains tightly contested between frontrunners Marco Bonilla Mendoza of the PAN and Cruz Pérez Cuéllar of the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps amid ongoing internal selections. Recent surveys show Morena holding a party-level edge near 45 percent against the PAN's 25 percent, yet head-to-head scenarios between Bonilla and Pérez Cuéllar produce margins under 10 points, influenced by local issues such as security cooperation with the United States and state-level fiscal reforms. Andrea Chávez Treviño trails within Morena, while lower-polling contenders including Julián LeBarón and Alfredo Lozoya Santillán draw limited support. Nomination timelines and any shifts in state-federal relations could widen separation before the June election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarco Bonilla Mendoza 48%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 32%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 14%
Francisco Sánchez Villegas 5.6%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
48%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
32%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
14%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
6%

Julián LeBarón
5%

Martín Chaparro Payán
3%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
1%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%
Marco Bonilla Mendoza 48%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 32%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 14%
Francisco Sánchez Villegas 5.6%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
48%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
32%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
14%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
6%

Julián LeBarón
5%

Martín Chaparro Payán
3%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
1%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains tightly contested between frontrunners Marco Bonilla Mendoza of the PAN and Cruz Pérez Cuéllar of the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps amid ongoing internal selections. Recent surveys show Morena holding a party-level edge near 45 percent against the PAN's 25 percent, yet head-to-head scenarios between Bonilla and Pérez Cuéllar produce margins under 10 points, influenced by local issues such as security cooperation with the United States and state-level fiscal reforms. Andrea Chávez Treviño trails within Morena, while lower-polling contenders including Julián LeBarón and Alfredo Lozoya Santillán draw limited support. Nomination timelines and any shifts in state-federal relations could widen separation before the June election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions