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icon for Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación

825K-900K 56%

900K-975K 34%

975K-1.05M 12%

750K-825K 4.0%

Polymarket

$10,220 Vol.

825K-900K 56%

900K-975K 34%

975K-1.05M 12%

750K-825K 4.0%

Polymarket

$10,220 Vol.

<600K

$747 Vol.

1%

600K-675K

$510 Vol.

<1%

675K-750K

$738 Vol.

<1%

750K-825K

$1,185 Vol.

4%

825K-900K

$1,864 Vol.

56%

900K-975K

$1,908 Vol.

34%

975K-1.05M

$2,240 Vol.

12%

1.05M+

$1,030 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout** Trader consensus centers on the 825K-900K vote range because the November 3, 2026, contest features a low-competition midterm race in a solidly Republican state. Incumbent Tom Cotton holds a substantial lead over Democrat Hallie Shoffner across forecasts and limited polling, reducing mobilization incentives for both parties. Arkansas has posted below-average turnout in recent cycles, including 41.5% of eligible voters in the 2022 midterms and 53.5% in the higher-stakes 2024 presidential election. With no major late-breaking developments, scandals, or high-profile ballot measures generating extra interest in the past month, expectations remain anchored to typical midterm participation patterns in the state. Scheduled events such as early voting and absentee deadlines have not yet produced measurable shifts in projections.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,220
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout** Trader consensus centers on the 825K-900K vote range because the November 3, 2026, contest features a low-competition midterm race in a solidly Republican state. Incumbent Tom Cotton holds a substantial lead over Democrat Hallie Shoffner across forecasts and limited polling, reducing mobilization incentives for both parties. Arkansas has posted below-average turnout in recent cycles, including 41.5% of eligible voters in the 2022 midterms and 53.5% in the higher-stakes 2024 presidential election. With no major late-breaking developments, scandals, or high-profile ballot measures generating extra interest in the past month, expectations remain anchored to typical midterm participation patterns in the state. Scheduled events such as early voting and absentee deadlines have not yet produced measurable shifts in projections.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,220
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "825K-900K" con 71%, seguido de "900K-975K" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación" ha generado $10.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 18, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación" es "825K-900K" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "900K-975K" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Arkansas: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.