The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación
Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación
2.8M-2.95M 38%
2.65M-2.8M 32%
2.5M-2.65M 18%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
1%
2,2M-2,35M
9%
2.35M-2.5M
8%
2.5M-2.65M
11%
2.65M-2.8M
32%
2.8M-2.95M
38%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1M+
10%
2.8M-2.95M 38%
2.65M-2.8M 32%
2.5M-2.65M 18%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
$71 Vol.
1%
2,2M-2,35M
$88 Vol.
9%
2.35M-2.5M
$71 Vol.
8%
2.5M-2.65M
$108 Vol.
11%
2.65M-2.8M
$745 Vol.
32%
2.8M-2.95M
$714 Vol.
38%
2,95M-3,1M
$80 Vol.
16%
3,1M+
$96 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volumen
$1,974Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,974Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across mid-range turnout bins reflect expectations of moderate participation in a low-competition general election featuring heavily favored Democratic incumbent Ed Markey against Republican John Deaton. Markey’s decisive primary win over Seth Moulton on September 1 generated limited enthusiasm, as Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin anticipated, while the unopposed Republican primary produced no additional mobilization. Typical midterm drop-off in a solidly Democratic state, alongside monitoring of early voting volumes starting in mid-October and mail ballot return rates, continues to anchor trader consensus near historical non-presidential levels without major catalysts to separate the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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