Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)

290K-305K 39%

305K-320K 29%

275K-290K 27%

260K-275K 7.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

290K-305K 39%

305K-320K 29%

275K-290K 27%

260K-275K 7.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<230K

$432 Vol.

1%

230K-245K

$426 Vol.

<1%

245K-260K

$450 Vol.

1%

260K-275K

$563 Vol.

7%

275K-290K

$1,077 Vol.

27%

290K-305K

$1,348 Vol.

39%

305K-320K

$1,281 Vol.

29%

320K o más

$458 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market prices around 275K–320K total ballots reflect a competitive U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola, where both campaigns are prioritizing voter mobilization in a ranked-choice general election. Recent primary turnout exceeded recent cycles amid high-stakes races for Senate and an open governor’s seat, signaling sustained engagement that could lift November participation above typical off-year levels. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and the lack of a polarizing national figure at the top are expected to moderate overall volume compared with 2024. Early voting, absentee access, and ongoing polling showing a narrow race continue to shape trader expectations for turnout in the first round of tabulation.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,036
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market prices around 275K–320K total ballots reflect a competitive U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola, where both campaigns are prioritizing voter mobilization in a ranked-choice general election. Recent primary turnout exceeded recent cycles amid high-stakes races for Senate and an open governor’s seat, signaling sustained engagement that could lift November participation above typical off-year levels. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and the lack of a polarizing national figure at the top are expected to moderate overall volume compared with 2024. Early voting, absentee access, and ongoing polling showing a narrow race continue to shape trader expectations for turnout in the first round of tabulation.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,036
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Serán los votos totales emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026 para senador de Maine entre 850,000 y 900,000?

¿Serán los votos totales emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026 para senador de Maine entre 850,000 y 900,000?

44%
Sí
icon for ¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026 para senador de Arkansas entre 825.000 y 900.000?

¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026 para senador de Arkansas entre 825.000 y 900.000?

50%
Sí
icon for Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?

Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?

46%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "290K-305K" con 39%, seguido de "305K-320K" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)" es "290K-305K" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "305K-320K" con 29%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Alaska: participación (primera ronda)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.