The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección del gobernador de Hawái: participación
Elección del gobernador de Hawái: participación
400K-430K 59.4%
370K-400K 32%
430K-460K 8%
490K+ 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<310K
1%
310K-340K
1%
340K-370K
3%
370K-400K
32%
400K-430K
59%
430K-460K
8%
460K-490K
<1%
490K+
3%
400K-430K 59.4%
370K-400K 32%
430K-460K 8%
490K+ 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<310K
$1,744 Vol.
1%
310K-340K
$442 Vol.
1%
340K-370K
$508 Vol.
3%
370K-400K
$2,743 Vol.
32%
400K-430K
$1,190 Vol.
59%
430K-460K
$475 Vol.
8%
460K-490K
$402 Vol.
<1%
490K+
$503 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volumen
$8,008Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,008Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The uncompetitive nature of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial contest, with Democratic incumbent Josh Green facing Republican Gary Cordery in a race rated safe Democratic, is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 400K-430K total ballots cast. Historical midterm turnout patterns, including 423K votes in 2022 at roughly 40% of registered voters, align with this range, while the August primary's sub-33% participation signals persistent voter apathy. With registered voters near 788K and no major late-cycle catalysts such as high-stakes ballot measures or scandals energizing participation, traders price limited upside beyond 430K absent unusual mobilization in the final weeks before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones intermedias de 2026 para gobernador de California entre 10,500,000 y 11,000,000?
43%
Sí
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en la elección de mitad de mandato de 2026 para gobernador de Nevada entre 1,050,000 y 1,125,000?
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Sí
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48%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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