The lopsided Becerra-Hilton contest, with the Democrat holding a consistent 18-25 point lead in recent polling, has tempered broad mobilization efforts and kept total ballots clustered near 11 million according to trader pricing. California’s heavy reliance on mail and early voting, combined with stable registration levels and typical off-year patterns, supports the tight spread across 10.5-12.5 million outcomes. Limited national salience and absence of major late-breaking events or intense ground campaigns further constrain upside volatility, while base turnout in key urban counties and any unexpected weather or procedural shifts on November 3 could still nudge final counts between the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección de gobernador de California: participación
Elección de gobernador de California: participación
11M-11.5M 46%
12M-12.5M 45%
10.5M-11M 43%
<10.5M 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<10.5M
40%
10.5M-11M
43%
11M-11.5M
46%
11.5M-12M
22%
12M-12.5M
45%
12.5M-13M
26%
13M-13.5M
25%
13.5M-14M
22%
14M-14.5M
24%
14.5M+
25%
11M-11.5M 46%
12M-12.5M 45%
10.5M-11M 43%
<10.5M 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<10.5M
$59 Vol.
40%
10.5M-11M
$59 Vol.
43%
11M-11.5M
$59 Vol.
46%
11.5M-12M
$79 Vol.
22%
12M-12.5M
$59 Vol.
45%
12.5M-13M
$59 Vol.
26%
13M-13.5M
$59 Vol.
25%
13.5M-14M
$59 Vol.
22%
14M-14.5M
$59 Vol.
24%
14.5M+
$59 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The lopsided Becerra-Hilton contest, with the Democrat holding a consistent 18-25 point lead in recent polling, has tempered broad mobilization efforts and kept total ballots clustered near 11 million according to trader pricing. California’s heavy reliance on mail and early voting, combined with stable registration levels and typical off-year patterns, supports the tight spread across 10.5-12.5 million outcomes. Limited national salience and absence of major late-breaking events or intense ground campaigns further constrain upside volatility, while base turnout in key urban counties and any unexpected weather or procedural shifts on November 3 could still nudge final counts between the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Volumen
$612Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The lopsided Becerra-Hilton contest, with the Democrat holding a consistent 18-25 point lead in recent polling, has tempered broad mobilization efforts and kept total ballots clustered near 11 million according to trader pricing. California’s heavy reliance on mail and early voting, combined with stable registration levels and typical off-year patterns, supports the tight spread across 10.5-12.5 million outcomes. Limited national salience and absence of major late-breaking events or intense ground campaigns further constrain upside volatility, while base turnout in key urban counties and any unexpected weather or procedural shifts on November 3 could still nudge final counts between the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$612Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The lopsided Becerra-Hilton contest, with the Democrat holding a consistent 18-25 point lead in recent polling, has tempered broad mobilization efforts and kept total ballots clustered near 11 million according to trader pricing. California’s heavy reliance on mail and early voting, combined with stable registration levels and typical off-year patterns, supports the tight spread across 10.5-12.5 million outcomes. Limited national salience and absence of major late-breaking events or intense ground campaigns further constrain upside volatility, while base turnout in key urban counties and any unexpected weather or procedural shifts on November 3 could still nudge final counts between the leading ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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