**Trader consensus centers on 350,000–450,000 total ballots cast in Rhode Island’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election, with the 350K–400K range holding the largest share at 49%.** This positioning reflects Rhode Island’s small electorate and patterns from recent non-presidential cycles. Historical data show roughly 490,000 votes in the 2020 and 2024 Senate contests during higher-turnout presidential years, while the 2022 midterm produced lower participation consistent with a 43.6% eligible-voter turnout rate. The 2026 Senate race features incumbent Democrat Jack Reed facing Republican Raymond McKay in a contest rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with Reed holding double-digit leads in available polling. The September 9 primaries drew only about 154,000 votes (roughly 19.5% turnout), underscoring limited early engagement. A large share of state legislative seats remain uncontested, further muting mobilization incentives. Absent major late-breaking developments or heightened voter enthusiasm, market pricing aligns with expectations of turnout falling between recent presidential and midterm benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones al Senado de Rhode Island: participación
Elecciones al Senado de Rhode Island: participación
350K-400K 31.0%
400K-450K 30%
300K-350K 14%
450K+ 3.9%
<250K
1%
250K-300K
1%
300K-350K
14%
350K-400K
39%
400K-450K
30%
450K+
4%
350K-400K 31.0%
400K-450K 30%
300K-350K 14%
450K+ 3.9%
<250K
1%
250K-300K
1%
300K-350K
14%
350K-400K
39%
400K-450K
30%
450K+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 350,000–450,000 total ballots cast in Rhode Island’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election, with the 350K–400K range holding the largest share at 49%.** This positioning reflects Rhode Island’s small electorate and patterns from recent non-presidential cycles. Historical data show roughly 490,000 votes in the 2020 and 2024 Senate contests during higher-turnout presidential years, while the 2022 midterm produced lower participation consistent with a 43.6% eligible-voter turnout rate. The 2026 Senate race features incumbent Democrat Jack Reed facing Republican Raymond McKay in a contest rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with Reed holding double-digit leads in available polling. The September 9 primaries drew only about 154,000 votes (roughly 19.5% turnout), underscoring limited early engagement. A large share of state legislative seats remain uncontested, further muting mobilization incentives. Absent major late-breaking developments or heightened voter enthusiasm, market pricing aligns with expectations of turnout falling between recent presidential and midterm benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026 para senador de Massachusetts entre 2,800,000 y 2,950,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en la elección de mitad de mandato de 2026 para Senador de New Hampshire entre 650,000 y 700,000?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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