In the low-engagement 2026 New Jersey Senate midterm contest, incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding lead over Republican Justin Murphy in a race rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with no general-election polls released and minimal campaign intensity since the June primaries. This dynamic anchors trader consensus on moderate turnout in the 2.8M–3.4M range, consistent with historical midterm patterns that fall well below presidential-year levels and light Republican primary participation. Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options provide some upward support in urban and suburban areas, while the absence of competitive mobilization or national coattails limits spikes. Resolution depends on certified valid votes cast on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones al Senado de Nueva Jersey: participación
Elecciones al Senado de Nueva Jersey: participación
3M-3.2M 46%
2.8M-3M 19%
3.2M-3.4M 11%
2,6M-2,8M 11%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2,6M-2,8M
11%
2.8M-3M
19%
3M-3.2M
46%
3.2M-3.4M
11%
3.4M-3.6M
6%
3.6M-3.8M
6%
3,8M+
10%
3M-3.2M 46%
2.8M-3M 19%
3.2M-3.4M 11%
2,6M-2,8M 11%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2,6M-2,8M
11%
2.8M-3M
19%
3M-3.2M
46%
3.2M-3.4M
11%
3.4M-3.6M
6%
3.6M-3.8M
6%
3,8M+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the low-engagement 2026 New Jersey Senate midterm contest, incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding lead over Republican Justin Murphy in a race rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with no general-election polls released and minimal campaign intensity since the June primaries. This dynamic anchors trader consensus on moderate turnout in the 2.8M–3.4M range, consistent with historical midterm patterns that fall well below presidential-year levels and light Republican primary participation. Democratic registration edges and expanded early and mail voting options provide some upward support in urban and suburban areas, while the absence of competitive mobilization or national coattails limits spikes. Resolution depends on certified valid votes cast on November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿El total de votos emitidos en las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026 para Senador de Delaware estará entre 375,000 y 400,000?
¿El total de votos emitidos en las elecciones intermedias de 2026 para senador de Carolina del Norte estará entre 3,900,000 y 4,100,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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