The competitive open-seat contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic in recent polls, anchors trader expectations around 2.6M-2.8M total votes. Wisconsin's history of elevated midterm turnout in closely fought races, including 57% of voting-age population in 2022 and 60% in 2018, supports this range amid sustained partisan mobilization. The August 11 primaries produced unusually high participation, with Democrats casting nearly 792,000 ballots, and both nominees now consolidated their bases ahead of November 3. Independent voter dynamics and enthusiasm gaps remain variables that could shift totals within the leading brackets, though no major catalysts have emerged to alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección del gobernador de Wisconsin: participación
Elección del gobernador de Wisconsin: participación
2.6M-2.8M 52%
2.8M-3M 26%
2.4M-2.6M 17%
3M-3.2M 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
1%
2.2M-2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
17%
2.6M-2.8M
52%
2.8M-3M
26%
3M-3.2M
6%
3.2M+
3%
2.6M-2.8M 52%
2.8M-3M 26%
2.4M-2.6M 17%
3M-3.2M 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<2.2M
$264 Vol.
1%
2.2M-2.4M
$1,225 Vol.
2%
2.4M-2.6M
$264 Vol.
17%
2.6M-2.8M
$1,199 Vol.
52%
2.8M-3M
$1,624 Vol.
26%
3M-3.2M
$313 Vol.
6%
3.2M+
$1,426 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive open-seat contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic in recent polls, anchors trader expectations around 2.6M-2.8M total votes. Wisconsin's history of elevated midterm turnout in closely fought races, including 57% of voting-age population in 2022 and 60% in 2018, supports this range amid sustained partisan mobilization. The August 11 primaries produced unusually high participation, with Democrats casting nearly 792,000 ballots, and both nominees now consolidated their bases ahead of November 3. Independent voter dynamics and enthusiasm gaps remain variables that could shift totals within the leading brackets, though no major catalysts have emerged to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volumen
$6,314Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive open-seat contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic in recent polls, anchors trader expectations around 2.6M-2.8M total votes. Wisconsin's history of elevated midterm turnout in closely fought races, including 57% of voting-age population in 2022 and 60% in 2018, supports this range amid sustained partisan mobilization. The August 11 primaries produced unusually high participation, with Democrats casting nearly 792,000 ballots, and both nominees now consolidated their bases ahead of November 3. Independent voter dynamics and enthusiasm gaps remain variables that could shift totals within the leading brackets, though no major catalysts have emerged to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,314Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive open-seat contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic in recent polls, anchors trader expectations around 2.6M-2.8M total votes. Wisconsin's history of elevated midterm turnout in closely fought races, including 57% of voting-age population in 2022 and 60% in 2018, supports this range amid sustained partisan mobilization. The August 11 primaries produced unusually high participation, with Democrats casting nearly 792,000 ballots, and both nominees now consolidated their bases ahead of November 3. Independent voter dynamics and enthusiasm gaps remain variables that could shift totals within the leading brackets, though no major catalysts have emerged to alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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