Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July headline CPI at 3.4% and resilient August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 keeping unemployment at 4.1%, anchors the closely matched market-implied odds of three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold vote, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlights entrenched divisions that incoming September 11 CPI and PPI prints could widen or narrow. Chair Warsh’s emphasis on further work against price pressures and Governor Waller’s data-dependent stance on holding rates underscore the committee’s sensitivity to energy-driven risks and labor-market strength, leaving the exact dissent count highly sensitive to the latest inflation trajectory versus the prior 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Meinungsverschiedenheiten gab es bei der Fed-Sitzung im September?
3 31%
4+ 30%
1 14%
0 11%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
0
11%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
30%
3 31%
4+ 30%
1 14%
0 11%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
0
11%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
30%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July headline CPI at 3.4% and resilient August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 keeping unemployment at 4.1%, anchors the closely matched market-implied odds of three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold vote, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, highlights entrenched divisions that incoming September 11 CPI and PPI prints could widen or narrow. Chair Warsh’s emphasis on further work against price pressures and Governor Waller’s data-dependent stance on holding rates underscore the committee’s sensitivity to energy-driven risks and labor-market strength, leaving the exact dissent count highly sensitive to the latest inflation trajectory versus the prior 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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