Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
0
17%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
0
17%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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