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icon for Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Economy·Fed Rates

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

icon for Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Economy·Fed Rates

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Other 54%

Pause–Pause–Pause 47%

Pause–Pause–Cut <1%

Polymarket

$842,981 Vol.

Other 54%

Pause–Pause–Pause 47%

Pause–Pause–Cut <1%

Polymarket

$842,981 Vol.

Pause–Pause–Pause

$326,527 Vol.

47%

Pause–Pause–Cut

$100,494 Vol.

1%

Other

$360,084 Vol.

54%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe closely matched odds between an all-pause sequence through September and other outcomes reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where the labor market’s resilience clashes with sticky inflation. June and July decisions held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid elevated PCE readings near 4 percent and energy-driven supply shocks from Middle East developments, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a hike at the July session. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1 percent unemployment rate have reinforced arguments for tighter policy, while upcoming CPI and PPI releases will test whether core disinflation is progressing enough to support another pause. Trader positioning thus hinges on whether incoming data shifts the balance toward a September hike or sustained restraint.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$842,981
Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe closely matched odds between an all-pause sequence through September and other outcomes reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where the labor market’s resilience clashes with sticky inflation. June and July decisions held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid elevated PCE readings near 4 percent and energy-driven supply shocks from Middle East developments, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a hike at the July session. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1 percent unemployment rate have reinforced arguments for tighter policy, while upcoming CPI and PPI releases will test whether core disinflation is progressing enough to support another pause. Trader positioning thus hinges on whether incoming data shifts the balance toward a September hike or sustained restraint.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$842,981
Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Fed in den nächsten drei Entscheidungen (Sep–Okt–Dez) Pause–Pause–Pause machen?

Wird die Fed in den nächsten drei Entscheidungen (Sep–Okt–Dez) Pause–Pause–Pause machen?

30%
Ja
icon for Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

55%
Ja
icon for Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

83%
Erhöhung

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Other" mit 54%, gefolgt von „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $843K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)" ist „Other" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 47%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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