Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)
Economy·Fed

Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)

icon for Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)
Economy·Fed

Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Sep. 16

Okt. 28

Dez. 9

Pause–Pause–Pause 28%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause 21%

Hike–Hike–Pause 19%

Anheben–Anheben–Anheben 16%

Polymarket

$18,690 Vol.

Pause–Pause–Pause 28%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause 21%

Hike–Hike–Pause 19%

Anheben–Anheben–Anheben 16%

Polymarket

$18,690 Vol.

Hike–Pause–Hike

$775 Vol.

13%

Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause

$867 Vol.

21%

Anheben–Anheben–Anheben

$577 Vol.

16%

Hike–Hike–Pause

$1,011 Vol.

19%

Pause–Pause–Erhöhung

$927 Vol.

7%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$12,198 Vol.

28%

Pause–Anhebung–Anhebung

$977 Vol.

7%

Pause–Anhebung–Pause

$1,066 Vol.

3%

Sonstiges

$294 Vol.

7%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment on Federal Reserve policy paths from September through December reflects closely matched probabilities across rate hike and pause sequences, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 27.5% amid uncertainty over inflation persistence and labor market resilience. Recent economic data releases, including CPI and employment figures, have produced mixed signals that prevent any single path from dominating, while market-implied odds embed expectations for FOMC communications balancing growth risks against price stability goals. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December meetings, where incoming data on core inflation and nonfarm payrolls could shift consensus. These probabilities represent skin-in-the-game trader assessments rather than forecasts, highlighting how modest revisions in growth or inflation outlooks could realign the field.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$18,690
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment on Federal Reserve policy paths from September through December reflects closely matched probabilities across rate hike and pause sequences, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 27.5% amid uncertainty over inflation persistence and labor market resilience. Recent economic data releases, including CPI and employment figures, have produced mixed signals that prevent any single path from dominating, while market-implied odds embed expectations for FOMC communications balancing growth risks against price stability goals. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December meetings, where incoming data on core inflation and nonfarm payrolls could shift consensus. These probabilities represent skin-in-the-game trader assessments rather than forecasts, highlighting how modest revisions in growth or inflation outlooks could realign the field.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$18,690
Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

Wird die Fed nach dem Treffen im September 2026 den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anheben?

64%
Ja
icon for Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

Was wird die nächste Zinserhöhung der Fed sein?

82%
Erhöhung
icon for Wird es nach der Sitzung im Oktober 2026 keine Änderung der Fed-Zinssätze geben?

Wird es nach der Sitzung im Oktober 2026 keine Änderung der Fed-Zinssätze geben?

67%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 28%, gefolgt von „Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $18.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 2, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" ist „Pause–Pause–Pause" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Zinsschritt–Pause–Pause" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Fed-Entscheidungen (Sep-Dez)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.