Trader consensus pricing "No" at 96.2% reflects the April 2026 closure of the Department of Justice investigation into Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, with a federal judge finding no evidence of criminal conduct beyond political friction. Powell completed his chairmanship in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board of Governors role through at least 2028 without facing charges or custody. Recent property transactions and public appearances further align with a standard post-tenure path for a former Fed official. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen reopening of probes by new authorities or unrelated personal matters, though market-implied odds assign these low probability given the prior judicial dismissal and lack of fresh catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
4% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
4% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus pricing "No" at 96.2% reflects the April 2026 closure of the Department of Justice investigation into Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, with a federal judge finding no evidence of criminal conduct beyond political friction. Powell completed his chairmanship in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board of Governors role through at least 2028 without facing charges or custody. Recent property transactions and public appearances further align with a standard post-tenure path for a former Fed official. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen reopening of probes by new authorities or unrelated personal matters, though market-implied odds assign these low probability given the prior judicial dismissal and lack of fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$5,693Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus pricing "No" at 96.2% reflects the April 2026 closure of the Department of Justice investigation into Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, with a federal judge finding no evidence of criminal conduct beyond political friction. Powell completed his chairmanship in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board of Governors role through at least 2028 without facing charges or custody. Recent property transactions and public appearances further align with a standard post-tenure path for a former Fed official. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen reopening of probes by new authorities or unrelated personal matters, though market-implied odds assign these low probability given the prior judicial dismissal and lack of fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,693Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus pricing "No" at 96.2% reflects the April 2026 closure of the Department of Justice investigation into Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, with a federal judge finding no evidence of criminal conduct beyond political friction. Powell completed his chairmanship in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board of Governors role through at least 2028 without facing charges or custody. Recent property transactions and public appearances further align with a standard post-tenure path for a former Fed official. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen reopening of probes by new authorities or unrelated personal matters, though market-implied odds assign these low probability given the prior judicial dismissal and lack of fresh catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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