The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于190,000-210,000 55%
210K-230K 27%
17万-19万 6%
25万+ 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于15万
3%
15万-17万
4%
17万-19万
6%
190,000-210,000
55%
210K-230K
27%
230K-250K
4%
25万+
6%
190,000-210,000 55%
210K-230K 27%
17万-19万 6%
25万+ 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于15万
$246 交易量
3%
15万-17万
$87 交易量
4%
17万-19万
$161 交易量
6%
190,000-210,000
$2,234 交易量
55%
210K-230K
$293 交易量
27%
230K-250K
$109 交易量
4%
25万+
$572 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,703结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,703结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETThe leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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