Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including Kamala Harris’s 4.2-point 2024 margin, and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2002. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August with 59% against centrist Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating progressive and party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster, won her primary but faces lower statewide visibility in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Recent polling averages show a narrower race around D+4, yet traders appear to weight long-term partisan fundamentals and incumbency-style advantages more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations. Late developments such as shifts in the national political environment or turnout surprises in key suburbs could still narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,074 交易量
$69,074 交易量
2026-11-02
佩吉·弗拉纳根（民主党）
92%
米歇尔·塔福亚（共和党）
9%
$69,074 交易量
$69,074 交易量
2026-11-02
佩吉·弗拉纳根（民主党）
$50,049 交易量
92%
米歇尔·塔福亚（共和党）
$19,025 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including Kamala Harris’s 4.2-point 2024 margin, and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2002. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August with 59% against centrist Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating progressive and party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster, won her primary but faces lower statewide visibility in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Recent polling averages show a narrower race around D+4, yet traders appear to weight long-term partisan fundamentals and incumbency-style advantages more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations. Late developments such as shifts in the national political environment or turnout surprises in key suburbs could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$69,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including Kamala Harris’s 4.2-point 2024 margin, and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2002. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August with 59% against centrist Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating progressive and party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster, won her primary but faces lower statewide visibility in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Recent polling averages show a narrower race around D+4, yet traders appear to weight long-term partisan fundamentals and incumbency-style advantages more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations. Late developments such as shifts in the national political environment or turnout surprises in key suburbs could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$69,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETPeggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including Kamala Harris’s 4.2-point 2024 margin, and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2002. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination in August with 59% against centrist Rep. Angie Craig, consolidating progressive and party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster, won her primary but faces lower statewide visibility in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Recent polling averages show a narrower race around D+4, yet traders appear to weight long-term partisan fundamentals and incumbency-style advantages more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations. Late developments such as shifts in the national political environment or turnout surprises in key suburbs could still narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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