The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton stays locked near even odds because Paxton’s May primary defeat of incumbent John Cornyn—secured with a late Donald Trump endorsement—left him exposed to ongoing scrutiny over prior indictments, impeachment, and ethics allegations that Talarico highlights in ads and messaging. Recent August and September polling averages show the candidates within a few points, reflecting Talarico’s edge among independents, Hispanic voters, women, and younger cohorts alongside Paxton’s strength with older white Republicans. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead and outside spending against Paxton have offset the state’s Republican baseline, while Paxton benefits from unified party support post-primary and a scheduled September GOP convention in Dallas. Negotiated debates and continued attacks on each candidate’s record could shift the narrow margin ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,042,048 交易量
$1,042,048 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
51%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
51%
$1,042,048 交易量
$1,042,048 交易量
2026-11-02
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$477,790 交易量
51%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$564,258 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton stays locked near even odds because Paxton’s May primary defeat of incumbent John Cornyn—secured with a late Donald Trump endorsement—left him exposed to ongoing scrutiny over prior indictments, impeachment, and ethics allegations that Talarico highlights in ads and messaging. Recent August and September polling averages show the candidates within a few points, reflecting Talarico’s edge among independents, Hispanic voters, women, and younger cohorts alongside Paxton’s strength with older white Republicans. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead and outside spending against Paxton have offset the state’s Republican baseline, while Paxton benefits from unified party support post-primary and a scheduled September GOP convention in Dallas. Negotiated debates and continued attacks on each candidate’s record could shift the narrow margin ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,042,048结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton stays locked near even odds because Paxton’s May primary defeat of incumbent John Cornyn—secured with a late Donald Trump endorsement—left him exposed to ongoing scrutiny over prior indictments, impeachment, and ethics allegations that Talarico highlights in ads and messaging. Recent August and September polling averages show the candidates within a few points, reflecting Talarico’s edge among independents, Hispanic voters, women, and younger cohorts alongside Paxton’s strength with older white Republicans. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead and outside spending against Paxton have offset the state’s Republican baseline, while Paxton benefits from unified party support post-primary and a scheduled September GOP convention in Dallas. Negotiated debates and continued attacks on each candidate’s record could shift the narrow margin ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,042,048结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETThe Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton stays locked near even odds because Paxton’s May primary defeat of incumbent John Cornyn—secured with a late Donald Trump endorsement—left him exposed to ongoing scrutiny over prior indictments, impeachment, and ethics allegations that Talarico highlights in ads and messaging. Recent August and September polling averages show the candidates within a few points, reflecting Talarico’s edge among independents, Hispanic voters, women, and younger cohorts alongside Paxton’s strength with older white Republicans. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead and outside spending against Paxton have offset the state’s Republican baseline, while Paxton benefits from unified party support post-primary and a scheduled September GOP convention in Dallas. Negotiated debates and continued attacks on each candidate’s record could shift the narrow margin ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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