Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support among progressives and key voter blocs including younger voters and Arab American communities after Mallory McMorrow's earlier withdrawal. This open-seat contest, following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, pits El-Sayed against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling aggregates through mid-September show El-Sayed holding a slim edge of 2-3 points among likely voters, consistent with Michigan's status as a competitive swing state. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these primary results, fundraising trends, and the race's role in broader Senate control dynamics, while noting the potential for shifts from upcoming debates or late-campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$800,150 交易量
$800,150 交易量
2026-11-02
阿卜杜勒·艾尔-萨耶德（民主党）
62%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
40%
$800,150 交易量
$800,150 交易量
2026-11-02
阿卜杜勒·艾尔-萨耶德（民主党）
$455,617 交易量
62%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
$344,533 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support among progressives and key voter blocs including younger voters and Arab American communities after Mallory McMorrow's earlier withdrawal. This open-seat contest, following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, pits El-Sayed against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling aggregates through mid-September show El-Sayed holding a slim edge of 2-3 points among likely voters, consistent with Michigan's status as a competitive swing state. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these primary results, fundraising trends, and the race's role in broader Senate control dynamics, while noting the potential for shifts from upcoming debates or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$800,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support among progressives and key voter blocs including younger voters and Arab American communities after Mallory McMorrow's earlier withdrawal. This open-seat contest, following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, pits El-Sayed against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling aggregates through mid-September show El-Sayed holding a slim edge of 2-3 points among likely voters, consistent with Michigan's status as a competitive swing state. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these primary results, fundraising trends, and the race's role in broader Senate control dynamics, while noting the potential for shifts from upcoming debates or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$800,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETAbdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support among progressives and key voter blocs including younger voters and Arab American communities after Mallory McMorrow's earlier withdrawal. This open-seat contest, following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, pits El-Sayed against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling aggregates through mid-September show El-Sayed holding a slim edge of 2-3 points among likely voters, consistent with Michigan's status as a competitive swing state. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing incorporates these primary results, fundraising trends, and the race's role in broader Senate control dynamics, while noting the potential for shifts from upcoming debates or late-campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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