Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$112,273 交易量
$112,273 交易量
2026-11-02
凯茜·霍楚尔（民主党）
95%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼（共和党）
6%
$112,273 交易量
$112,273 交易量
2026-11-02
凯茜·霍楚尔（民主党）
$49,697 交易量
95%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼（共和党）
$62,575 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$112,273结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$112,273结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETKathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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