Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison holds an 83.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election market, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong primary performance, the office's long Democratic hold since 1971, and Minnesota's partisan baseline in statewide contests. Republican nominee Ron Schutz, who advanced unopposed, sits at 19.5% amid a competitive race centered on enforcement priorities including Medicaid fraud cases and consumer protections. The most recent KSTP/SurveyUSA poll from mid-August showed a statistical tie at 43% each, with 15% undecided, though earlier surveys gave Ellison modest leads. No major developments have shifted positioning since the August 11 primaries, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, federal policy disputes, and late-cycle messaging on state government accountability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
基思·埃里森（民主党）
84%
罗纳德·J·舒茨（共和党）
21%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
基思·埃里森（民主党）
$265 交易量
84%
罗纳德·J·舒茨（共和党）
$223 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison holds an 83.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election market, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong primary performance, the office's long Democratic hold since 1971, and Minnesota's partisan baseline in statewide contests. Republican nominee Ron Schutz, who advanced unopposed, sits at 19.5% amid a competitive race centered on enforcement priorities including Medicaid fraud cases and consumer protections. The most recent KSTP/SurveyUSA poll from mid-August showed a statistical tie at 43% each, with 15% undecided, though earlier surveys gave Ellison modest leads. No major developments have shifted positioning since the August 11 primaries, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, federal policy disputes, and late-cycle messaging on state government accountability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
交易量
$487结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison holds an 83.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election market, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong primary performance, the office's long Democratic hold since 1971, and Minnesota's partisan baseline in statewide contests. Republican nominee Ron Schutz, who advanced unopposed, sits at 19.5% amid a competitive race centered on enforcement priorities including Medicaid fraud cases and consumer protections. The most recent KSTP/SurveyUSA poll from mid-August showed a statistical tie at 43% each, with 15% undecided, though earlier surveys gave Ellison modest leads. No major developments have shifted positioning since the August 11 primaries, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, federal policy disputes, and late-cycle messaging on state government accountability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$487结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison holds an 83.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election market, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong primary performance, the office's long Democratic hold since 1971, and Minnesota's partisan baseline in statewide contests. Republican nominee Ron Schutz, who advanced unopposed, sits at 19.5% amid a competitive race centered on enforcement priorities including Medicaid fraud cases and consumer protections. The most recent KSTP/SurveyUSA poll from mid-August showed a statistical tie at 43% each, with 15% undecided, though earlier surveys gave Ellison modest leads. No major developments have shifted positioning since the August 11 primaries, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, federal policy disputes, and late-cycle messaging on state government accountability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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