Recent intermittent errors on newer large language models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, plus a brief Google Play subscription disruption on September 16, have reinforced trader consensus around 5-7 affected days for the month. These incidents, including elevated error rates resolved within hours on September 15 and earlier spikes on September 3 and 11, reflect Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid rapid model iteration and API demand growth. With Claude's official status page showing mostly operational components but recurring partial outages tied to specific model inference and billing flows, the market-implied odds favor moderate downtime totals rather than sustained multi-day failures. Traders are watching for any further model-specific latency issues or platform updates before month's end that could push counts into the 8-10 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5-7 52%
8-10 33%
11-13 9.8%
14+ 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
小于5
3%
5-7
52%
8-10
33%
11-13
10%
14+
5%
5-7 52%
8-10 33%
11-13 9.8%
14+ 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
小于5
$1,895 交易量
3%
5-7
$3,264 交易量
52%
8-10
$1,336 交易量
33%
11-13
$936 交易量
10%
14+
$526 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent intermittent errors on newer large language models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, plus a brief Google Play subscription disruption on September 16, have reinforced trader consensus around 5-7 affected days for the month. These incidents, including elevated error rates resolved within hours on September 15 and earlier spikes on September 3 and 11, reflect Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid rapid model iteration and API demand growth. With Claude's official status page showing mostly operational components but recurring partial outages tied to specific model inference and billing flows, the market-implied odds favor moderate downtime totals rather than sustained multi-day failures. Traders are watching for any further model-specific latency issues or platform updates before month's end that could push counts into the 8-10 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$7,957结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent intermittent errors on newer large language models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, plus a brief Google Play subscription disruption on September 16, have reinforced trader consensus around 5-7 affected days for the month. These incidents, including elevated error rates resolved within hours on September 15 and earlier spikes on September 3 and 11, reflect Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid rapid model iteration and API demand growth. With Claude's official status page showing mostly operational components but recurring partial outages tied to specific model inference and billing flows, the market-implied odds favor moderate downtime totals rather than sustained multi-day failures. Traders are watching for any further model-specific latency issues or platform updates before month's end that could push counts into the 8-10 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
交易量
$7,957结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRecent intermittent errors on newer large language models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, plus a brief Google Play subscription disruption on September 16, have reinforced trader consensus around 5-7 affected days for the month. These incidents, including elevated error rates resolved within hours on September 15 and earlier spikes on September 3 and 11, reflect Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid rapid model iteration and API demand growth. With Claude's official status page showing mostly operational components but recurring partial outages tied to specific model inference and billing flows, the market-implied odds favor moderate downtime totals rather than sustained multi-day failures. Traders are watching for any further model-specific latency issues or platform updates before month's end that could push counts into the 8-10 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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