Traders assign OpenAI an overwhelming 98% implied probability of leading in image edit AI by end of September, reflecting the company's recent rollout of refined multimodal editing tools within GPT models that deliver precise, context-aware modifications far ahead of rivals. These capabilities stem from iterative improvements in vision-language integration, enabling natural language-driven changes with high fidelity on complex scenes. Strong consensus rests on demonstrated performance in user-facing features and benchmarks released this month. Realistic shifts could occur if competitors like Google or Black Forest Labs unveil superior real-time editing benchmarks or if OpenAI encounters unexpected delays in scaling its latest updates before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 98.3%
谷歌 1.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
微软AI <1%
$25,998 交易量
$25,998 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
98%
谷歌
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
微软AI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
腾讯
<1%
Black Forest Labs
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 98.3%
谷歌 1.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
微软AI <1%
$25,998 交易量
$25,998 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
$11,234 交易量
98%
谷歌
$9,138 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$568 交易量
<1%
微软AI
$558 交易量
<1%
Meta
$532 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$419 交易量
<1%
Reve
$439 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$354 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$439 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$478 交易量
<1%
Black Forest Labs
$545 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$374 交易量
<1%
Pruna
$530 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$389 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign OpenAI an overwhelming 98% implied probability of leading in image edit AI by end of September, reflecting the company's recent rollout of refined multimodal editing tools within GPT models that deliver precise, context-aware modifications far ahead of rivals. These capabilities stem from iterative improvements in vision-language integration, enabling natural language-driven changes with high fidelity on complex scenes. Strong consensus rests on demonstrated performance in user-facing features and benchmarks released this month. Realistic shifts could occur if competitors like Google or Black Forest Labs unveil superior real-time editing benchmarks or if OpenAI encounters unexpected delays in scaling its latest updates before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$25,998结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign OpenAI an overwhelming 98% implied probability of leading in image edit AI by end of September, reflecting the company's recent rollout of refined multimodal editing tools within GPT models that deliver precise, context-aware modifications far ahead of rivals. These capabilities stem from iterative improvements in vision-language integration, enabling natural language-driven changes with high fidelity on complex scenes. Strong consensus rests on demonstrated performance in user-facing features and benchmarks released this month. Realistic shifts could occur if competitors like Google or Black Forest Labs unveil superior real-time editing benchmarks or if OpenAI encounters unexpected delays in scaling its latest updates before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$25,998结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETTraders assign OpenAI an overwhelming 98% implied probability of leading in image edit AI by end of September, reflecting the company's recent rollout of refined multimodal editing tools within GPT models that deliver precise, context-aware modifications far ahead of rivals. These capabilities stem from iterative improvements in vision-language integration, enabling natural language-driven changes with high fidelity on complex scenes. Strong consensus rests on demonstrated performance in user-facing features and benchmarks released this month. Realistic shifts could occur if competitors like Google or Black Forest Labs unveil superior real-time editing benchmarks or if OpenAI encounters unexpected delays in scaling its latest updates before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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