Traders assign OpenAI a 90% implied probability of leading image edit AI by end of October due to its established edge in multimodal large language models that combine contextual understanding with precise visual manipulation. This consensus reflects ongoing demonstrations of superior edit accuracy, consistency across complex prompts, and seamless integration into creative workflows compared to narrower specialized tools. Lower odds for Google, Black Forest Labs, and others highlight fewer recent capability leaps or public benchmarks that would close the gap. Resolution hinges on verifiable performance metrics through October, where any major model update or independent evaluation could still influence final trader positioning before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 90%
谷歌 5.0%
腾讯 4.0%
Reve 2.2%
$15,157 交易量
$15,157 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
90%
谷歌
5%
腾讯
4%
Reve
2%
Black Forest Labs
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
微软AI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 90%
谷歌 5.0%
腾讯 4.0%
Reve 2.2%
$15,157 交易量
$15,157 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
$8,803 交易量
90%
谷歌
$742 交易量
5%
腾讯
$1,007 交易量
4%
Reve
$414 交易量
2%
Black Forest Labs
$600 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$392 交易量
<1%
微软AI
$428 交易量
<1%
Meta
$389 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$405 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$407 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$367 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$345 交易量
<1%
Pruna
$492 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign OpenAI a 90% implied probability of leading image edit AI by end of October due to its established edge in multimodal large language models that combine contextual understanding with precise visual manipulation. This consensus reflects ongoing demonstrations of superior edit accuracy, consistency across complex prompts, and seamless integration into creative workflows compared to narrower specialized tools. Lower odds for Google, Black Forest Labs, and others highlight fewer recent capability leaps or public benchmarks that would close the gap. Resolution hinges on verifiable performance metrics through October, where any major model update or independent evaluation could still influence final trader positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,157结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign OpenAI a 90% implied probability of leading image edit AI by end of October due to its established edge in multimodal large language models that combine contextual understanding with precise visual manipulation. This consensus reflects ongoing demonstrations of superior edit accuracy, consistency across complex prompts, and seamless integration into creative workflows compared to narrower specialized tools. Lower odds for Google, Black Forest Labs, and others highlight fewer recent capability leaps or public benchmarks that would close the gap. Resolution hinges on verifiable performance metrics through October, where any major model update or independent evaluation could still influence final trader positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$15,157结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETTraders assign OpenAI a 90% implied probability of leading image edit AI by end of October due to its established edge in multimodal large language models that combine contextual understanding with precise visual manipulation. This consensus reflects ongoing demonstrations of superior edit accuracy, consistency across complex prompts, and seamless integration into creative workflows compared to narrower specialized tools. Lower odds for Google, Black Forest Labs, and others highlight fewer recent capability leaps or public benchmarks that would close the gap. Resolution hinges on verifiable performance metrics through October, where any major model update or independent evaluation could still influence final trader positioning before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题