Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Claude family, including Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May and Opus 4.7 in April, reflects a shift toward frequent incremental upgrades focused on agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, long-horizon workflows, and efficiency gains at stable pricing. The July Opus 5 update positioned it as a cost-effective alternative approaching the performance of the higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models released in June, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 following on September 1. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on safety guardrails for advanced capabilities and expanded Project Glasswing access, supports trader expectations for continued rapid iteration. No official timeline exists for the next Opus-class model, though historical patterns and ongoing development of even higher-intelligence tiers suggest resolution could hinge on near-term announcements or benchmark demonstrations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$99,288 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
68%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
99%
$99,288 交易量
9月30日
$39,488 交易量
68%
10月31日
$13,267 交易量
98%
12月31日
$5,019 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Claude family, including Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May and Opus 4.7 in April, reflects a shift toward frequent incremental upgrades focused on agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, long-horizon workflows, and efficiency gains at stable pricing. The July Opus 5 update positioned it as a cost-effective alternative approaching the performance of the higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models released in June, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 following on September 1. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on safety guardrails for advanced capabilities and expanded Project Glasswing access, supports trader expectations for continued rapid iteration. No official timeline exists for the next Opus-class model, though historical patterns and ongoing development of even higher-intelligence tiers suggest resolution could hinge on near-term announcements or benchmark demonstrations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$99,288结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Claude family, including Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May and Opus 4.7 in April, reflects a shift toward frequent incremental upgrades focused on agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, long-horizon workflows, and efficiency gains at stable pricing. The July Opus 5 update positioned it as a cost-effective alternative approaching the performance of the higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models released in June, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 following on September 1. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on safety guardrails for advanced capabilities and expanded Project Glasswing access, supports trader expectations for continued rapid iteration. No official timeline exists for the next Opus-class model, though historical patterns and ongoing development of even higher-intelligence tiers suggest resolution could hinge on near-term announcements or benchmark demonstrations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$99,288结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAnthropic’s accelerated release cadence for its Claude family, including Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May and Opus 4.7 in April, reflects a shift toward frequent incremental upgrades focused on agentic coding, adaptive reasoning, long-horizon workflows, and efficiency gains at stable pricing. The July Opus 5 update positioned it as a cost-effective alternative approaching the performance of the higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models released in June, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 following on September 1. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on safety guardrails for advanced capabilities and expanded Project Glasswing access, supports trader expectations for continued rapid iteration. No official timeline exists for the next Opus-class model, though historical patterns and ongoing development of even higher-intelligence tiers suggest resolution could hinge on near-term announcements or benchmark demonstrations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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