Google's next Gemini Pro frontier model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O debut and original June target. The company has cited extra time needed for internal testing, partner feedback, and improvements in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks, pushing it past July without a firm public release date. In the interim, Google has shipped frequent lightweight updates including Gemini 3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 Flash variants optimized for speed, cost, and specialized uses like cybersecurity. Training has already begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, reflecting DeepMind's push to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model labs. Traders are watching for any official "coming soon" update or earnings commentary that could clarify resolution criteria around general availability in the Gemini app or API.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,269,091 交易量
2026-09-15
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
65%
10 月 15 日
22%
$1,269,091 交易量
September 15
$12,250 交易量
3%
September 30
$81,197 交易量
11%
October 31
$16,248 交易量
65%
10 月 15 日
$3,312 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro frontier model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O debut and original June target. The company has cited extra time needed for internal testing, partner feedback, and improvements in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks, pushing it past July without a firm public release date. In the interim, Google has shipped frequent lightweight updates including Gemini 3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 Flash variants optimized for speed, cost, and specialized uses like cybersecurity. Training has already begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, reflecting DeepMind's push to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model labs. Traders are watching for any official "coming soon" update or earnings commentary that could clarify resolution criteria around general availability in the Gemini app or API.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
交易量
$1,269,091结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro frontier model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O debut and original June target. The company has cited extra time needed for internal testing, partner feedback, and improvements in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks, pushing it past July without a firm public release date. In the interim, Google has shipped frequent lightweight updates including Gemini 3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 Flash variants optimized for speed, cost, and specialized uses like cybersecurity. Training has already begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, reflecting DeepMind's push to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model labs. Traders are watching for any official "coming soon" update or earnings commentary that could clarify resolution criteria around general availability in the Gemini app or API.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,269,091结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETGoogle's next Gemini Pro frontier model, widely expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O debut and original June target. The company has cited extra time needed for internal testing, partner feedback, and improvements in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks, pushing it past July without a firm public release date. In the interim, Google has shipped frequent lightweight updates including Gemini 3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 Flash variants optimized for speed, cost, and specialized uses like cybersecurity. Training has already begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, reflecting DeepMind's push to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model labs. Traders are watching for any official "coming soon" update or earnings commentary that could clarify resolution criteria around general availability in the Gemini app or API.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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