The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於460萬-480萬 45.1%
480萬-500萬 20%
440萬-460萬 20%
560萬+ 5.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於4.2M
3%
420萬-440萬
1%
440萬-460萬
20%
460萬-480萬
45%
480萬-500萬
20%
500萬-520萬
12%
520萬-540萬
1%
540萬-560萬
1%
560萬+
5%
460萬-480萬 45.1%
480萬-500萬 20%
440萬-460萬 20%
560萬+ 5.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於4.2M
$278 交易量
3%
420萬-440萬
$249 交易量
1%
440萬-460萬
$2,010 交易量
20%
460萬-480萬
$750 交易量
45%
480萬-500萬
$1,840 交易量
20%
500萬-520萬
$251 交易量
12%
520萬-540萬
$2,410 交易量
1%
540萬-560萬
$1,307 交易量
1%
560萬+
$463 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
交易量
$9,557結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,557結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETThe competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat drives trader expectations for solid midterm turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow race with margins inside the margin of error, energizing both parties’ bases and independents around economic concerns such as auto tariffs and manufacturing. The August Democratic primary drew record participation exceeding 2.5 million voters, signaling sustained engagement that could carry into the general election. Michigan’s established patterns of reliable midterm turnout, supported by expanded early and absentee voting options, support probabilities clustering in the 4.6–5 million range without evident catalysts for record highs or sharp drops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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