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icon for 德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家
政治·美國大選

德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家

icon for 德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家
政治·美國大選

德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）

詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）

$176 交易量

72%

icon for 肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）

肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）

$75 交易量

12%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.Fort Bend County's diverse suburban electorate, with substantial Hispanic, Asian American, and independent voters, has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, positioning state Representative James Talarico as the frontrunner to carry the county in the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate race. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright in March after outperforming Representative Jasmine Crockett, while Republican nominee Ken Paxton advanced via a May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Heavy outside spending opposing Paxton, Talarico's fundraising advantage exceeding $68 million, and recent statewide polling showing a competitive or tied contest have reinforced trader views of Talarico's county-level edge. Minor-party and independent candidates register negligible support in available data.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
交易量
$251
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.Fort Bend County's diverse suburban electorate, with substantial Hispanic, Asian American, and independent voters, has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, positioning state Representative James Talarico as the frontrunner to carry the county in the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate race. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright in March after outperforming Representative Jasmine Crockett, while Republican nominee Ken Paxton advanced via a May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Heavy outside spending opposing Paxton, Talarico's fundraising advantage exceeding $68 million, and recent statewide polling showing a competitive or tied contest have reinforced trader views of Talarico's county-level edge. Minor-party and independent candidates register negligible support in available data.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
交易量
$251
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）" at 72%, followed by "肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家" is "詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德克薩斯州參議員選舉：本德堡郡贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.