Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary win over Haley Stevens, followed by consistent September polling leads of 2–4 points over Mike Rogers in the open-seat Michigan Senate race, has shaped trader views on Kent County outcomes. Recent surveys from Emerson, Washington Post/Schar, and Insider Advantage show El-Sayed maintaining a modest statewide edge heading into the November general election, reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout and messaging on costs and health care. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters factor into the implied probability, with Rogers positioned as the stronger Republican alternative yet facing headwinds in a contest viewed as competitive but tilting Democratic in recent cycles. Late shifts in national environment or local turnout could still alter county results before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·艾爾-薩耶德（民主黨）
85%
麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·艾爾-薩耶德（民主黨）
$1,004 交易量
85%
麥克·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$806 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary win over Haley Stevens, followed by consistent September polling leads of 2–4 points over Mike Rogers in the open-seat Michigan Senate race, has shaped trader views on Kent County outcomes. Recent surveys from Emerson, Washington Post/Schar, and Insider Advantage show El-Sayed maintaining a modest statewide edge heading into the November general election, reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout and messaging on costs and health care. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters factor into the implied probability, with Rogers positioned as the stronger Republican alternative yet facing headwinds in a contest viewed as competitive but tilting Democratic in recent cycles. Late shifts in national environment or local turnout could still alter county results before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,811結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary win over Haley Stevens, followed by consistent September polling leads of 2–4 points over Mike Rogers in the open-seat Michigan Senate race, has shaped trader views on Kent County outcomes. Recent surveys from Emerson, Washington Post/Schar, and Insider Advantage show El-Sayed maintaining a modest statewide edge heading into the November general election, reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout and messaging on costs and health care. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters factor into the implied probability, with Rogers positioned as the stronger Republican alternative yet facing headwinds in a contest viewed as competitive but tilting Democratic in recent cycles. Late shifts in national environment or local turnout could still alter county results before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
交易量
$1,811結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbdul El-Sayed’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary win over Haley Stevens, followed by consistent September polling leads of 2–4 points over Mike Rogers in the open-seat Michigan Senate race, has shaped trader views on Kent County outcomes. Recent surveys from Emerson, Washington Post/Schar, and Insider Advantage show El-Sayed maintaining a modest statewide edge heading into the November general election, reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout and messaging on costs and health care. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters factor into the implied probability, with Rogers positioned as the stronger Republican alternative yet facing headwinds in a contest viewed as competitive but tilting Democratic in recent cycles. Late shifts in national environment or local turnout could still alter county results before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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