Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida special election for the Senate seat vacated by Marco Rubio due to her incumbency as the Republican appointee, decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsement from President Trump in a state with a durable Republican registration and voting advantage. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, though some surveys indicate tighter margins amid broader midterm dynamics. The market's high implied probability for Moody reflects these structural factors and historical patterns of Republican strength in statewide contests. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, unusually strong Democratic turnout in urban areas, or national political shifts that boost challenger Angie Nixon's appeal among swing voters before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$127,034 交易量
$127,034 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪（共和黨）
92%
安琪·尼克森（民主黨）
9%
$127,034 交易量
$127,034 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪（共和黨）
$65,779 交易量
92%
安琪·尼克森（民主黨）
$61,255 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida special election for the Senate seat vacated by Marco Rubio due to her incumbency as the Republican appointee, decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsement from President Trump in a state with a durable Republican registration and voting advantage. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, though some surveys indicate tighter margins amid broader midterm dynamics. The market's high implied probability for Moody reflects these structural factors and historical patterns of Republican strength in statewide contests. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, unusually strong Democratic turnout in urban areas, or national political shifts that boost challenger Angie Nixon's appeal among swing voters before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$127,034市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida special election for the Senate seat vacated by Marco Rubio due to her incumbency as the Republican appointee, decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsement from President Trump in a state with a durable Republican registration and voting advantage. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, though some surveys indicate tighter margins amid broader midterm dynamics. The market's high implied probability for Moody reflects these structural factors and historical patterns of Republican strength in statewide contests. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, unusually strong Democratic turnout in urban areas, or national political shifts that boost challenger Angie Nixon's appeal among swing voters before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$127,034市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAshley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida special election for the Senate seat vacated by Marco Rubio due to her incumbency as the Republican appointee, decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsement from President Trump in a state with a durable Republican registration and voting advantage. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly five points, though some surveys indicate tighter margins amid broader midterm dynamics. The market's high implied probability for Moody reflects these structural factors and historical patterns of Republican strength in statewide contests. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include major late-breaking scandals, health developments, unusually strong Democratic turnout in urban areas, or national political shifts that boost challenger Angie Nixon's appeal among swing voters before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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