Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於305萬以上 45%
290萬-305萬 43%
275萬-290萬 40%
260萬-275萬 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於200萬
33%
200萬-215萬
27%
215萬-230萬
27%
230萬-245萬
26%
245萬-260萬
33%
260萬-275萬
38%
275萬-290萬
40%
290萬-305萬
43%
305萬以上
45%
305萬以上 45%
290萬-305萬 43%
275萬-290萬 40%
260萬-275萬 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於200萬
$25 交易量
33%
200萬-215萬
$25 交易量
27%
215萬-230萬
$25 交易量
27%
230萬-245萬
$25 交易量
26%
245萬-260萬
$25 交易量
33%
260萬-275萬
$25 交易量
38%
275萬-290萬
$28 交易量
40%
290萬-305萬
$25 交易量
43%
305萬以上
$25 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRecent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions