Minnesota's structural Democratic lean and absence of Republican statewide victories since 2006 anchor trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan in the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination with 59% in the August primary after defeating Rep. Angie Craig, positioning her as the progressive standard-bearer in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate races for decades. Recent polling averages show Flanagan ahead by roughly four points, though the race remains within margins of error. Michele Tafoya captured the Republican nomination with 52% but faces headwinds from the party's long drought in Minnesota federal contests. Late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or renewed focus on state governance issues could still narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$68,579 交易量
$68,579 交易量
2026-11-02
佩吉·弗拉納根（民主黨）
92%
米歇爾·塔福亞（共和黨）
9%
$68,579 交易量
$68,579 交易量
2026-11-02
佩吉·弗拉納根（民主黨）
$49,940 交易量
92%
米歇爾·塔福亞（共和黨）
$18,639 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean and absence of Republican statewide victories since 2006 anchor trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan in the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination with 59% in the August primary after defeating Rep. Angie Craig, positioning her as the progressive standard-bearer in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate races for decades. Recent polling averages show Flanagan ahead by roughly four points, though the race remains within margins of error. Michele Tafoya captured the Republican nomination with 52% but faces headwinds from the party's long drought in Minnesota federal contests. Late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or renewed focus on state governance issues could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$68,579結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean and absence of Republican statewide victories since 2006 anchor trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan in the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination with 59% in the August primary after defeating Rep. Angie Craig, positioning her as the progressive standard-bearer in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate races for decades. Recent polling averages show Flanagan ahead by roughly four points, though the race remains within margins of error. Michele Tafoya captured the Republican nomination with 52% but faces headwinds from the party's long drought in Minnesota federal contests. Late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or renewed focus on state governance issues could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$68,579結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETMinnesota's structural Democratic lean and absence of Republican statewide victories since 2006 anchor trader consensus behind Peggy Flanagan in the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan secured the DFL nomination with 59% in the August primary after defeating Rep. Angie Craig, positioning her as the progressive standard-bearer in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate races for decades. Recent polling averages show Flanagan ahead by roughly four points, though the race remains within margins of error. Michele Tafoya captured the Republican nomination with 52% but faces headwinds from the party's long drought in Minnesota federal contests. Late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or renewed focus on state governance issues could still narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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