The safe or solid Republican rating for incumbent Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson has kept national attention and party mobilization low ahead of the November 3 contest, supporting trader expectations for contained turnout in the 400K-500K range. West Virginia’s rural demographics and older electorate have produced historically modest participation in midterm cycles compared with presidential years, as seen in the 2024 Senate race exceeding 748K total votes. The May 12 primaries generated no major surprises, and the September 9 secretary of state report highlighted continued GOP registration gains alongside lower primary participation. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late-cycle national developments remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於450,000-500,000 43%
40萬至45萬 37%
50萬-55萬 20%
60萬至65萬 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於400K
4%
40萬至45萬
37%
450,000-500,000
43%
50萬-55萬
20%
550K-600K
4%
60萬至65萬
6%
65萬+
4%
450,000-500,000 43%
40萬至45萬 37%
50萬-55萬 20%
60萬至65萬 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於400K
$203 交易量
4%
40萬至45萬
$812 交易量
37%
450,000-500,000
$1,319 交易量
43%
50萬-55萬
$411 交易量
20%
550K-600K
$189 交易量
4%
60萬至65萬
$205 交易量
6%
65萬+
$169 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The safe or solid Republican rating for incumbent Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson has kept national attention and party mobilization low ahead of the November 3 contest, supporting trader expectations for contained turnout in the 400K-500K range. West Virginia’s rural demographics and older electorate have produced historically modest participation in midterm cycles compared with presidential years, as seen in the 2024 Senate race exceeding 748K total votes. The May 12 primaries generated no major surprises, and the September 9 secretary of state report highlighted continued GOP registration gains alongside lower primary participation. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late-cycle national developments remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The safe or solid Republican rating for incumbent Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson has kept national attention and party mobilization low ahead of the November 3 contest, supporting trader expectations for contained turnout in the 400K-500K range. West Virginia’s rural demographics and older electorate have produced historically modest participation in midterm cycles compared with presidential years, as seen in the 2024 Senate race exceeding 748K total votes. The May 12 primaries generated no major surprises, and the September 9 secretary of state report highlighted continued GOP registration gains alongside lower primary participation. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late-cycle national developments remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETThe safe or solid Republican rating for incumbent Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson has kept national attention and party mobilization low ahead of the November 3 contest, supporting trader expectations for contained turnout in the 400K-500K range. West Virginia’s rural demographics and older electorate have produced historically modest participation in midterm cycles compared with presidential years, as seen in the 2024 Senate race exceeding 748K total votes. The May 12 primaries generated no major surprises, and the September 9 secretary of state report highlighted continued GOP registration gains alongside lower primary participation. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late-cycle national developments remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions