**Abdul El-Sayed holds a strong implied probability in the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate race due to the county’s Democratic-leaning suburban electorate and the nominee’s primary performance across much of the state.** El-Sayed narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 4 after Mallory McMorrow withdrew and he edged Rep. Haley Stevens by under one point statewide, though Stevens carried Oakland by roughly seven points. In the general election matchup against former Rep. Mike Rogers, recent polls through mid-September show El-Sayed with a narrow statewide edge or statistical tie, reflecting voter priorities on the economy, healthcare, and affordability. Rogers has focused outreach on independents, older voters, and Jewish communities in Oakland County, citing El-Sayed’s progressive positions and past remarks on Israel, yet these efforts have not shifted broader polling or trader consensus enough to elevate Rogers’ county-level prospects. The race remains competitive with November 3 voting still weeks away, and turnout among suburban and independent blocs could influence the final county margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-薩耶德（民主黨）
90%
麥克・羅傑斯（共和黨）
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-薩耶德（民主黨）
$630 交易量
90%
麥克・羅傑斯（共和黨）
$320 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.**Abdul El-Sayed holds a strong implied probability in the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate race due to the county’s Democratic-leaning suburban electorate and the nominee’s primary performance across much of the state.** El-Sayed narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 4 after Mallory McMorrow withdrew and he edged Rep. Haley Stevens by under one point statewide, though Stevens carried Oakland by roughly seven points. In the general election matchup against former Rep. Mike Rogers, recent polls through mid-September show El-Sayed with a narrow statewide edge or statistical tie, reflecting voter priorities on the economy, healthcare, and affordability. Rogers has focused outreach on independents, older voters, and Jewish communities in Oakland County, citing El-Sayed’s progressive positions and past remarks on Israel, yet these efforts have not shifted broader polling or trader consensus enough to elevate Rogers’ county-level prospects. The race remains competitive with November 3 voting still weeks away, and turnout among suburban and independent blocs could influence the final county margin.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$950結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.**Abdul El-Sayed holds a strong implied probability in the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate race due to the county’s Democratic-leaning suburban electorate and the nominee’s primary performance across much of the state.** El-Sayed narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 4 after Mallory McMorrow withdrew and he edged Rep. Haley Stevens by under one point statewide, though Stevens carried Oakland by roughly seven points. In the general election matchup against former Rep. Mike Rogers, recent polls through mid-September show El-Sayed with a narrow statewide edge or statistical tie, reflecting voter priorities on the economy, healthcare, and affordability. Rogers has focused outreach on independents, older voters, and Jewish communities in Oakland County, citing El-Sayed’s progressive positions and past remarks on Israel, yet these efforts have not shifted broader polling or trader consensus enough to elevate Rogers’ county-level prospects. The race remains competitive with November 3 voting still weeks away, and turnout among suburban and independent blocs could influence the final county margin.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
交易量
$950結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET**Abdul El-Sayed holds a strong implied probability in the Oakland County portion of Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate race due to the county’s Democratic-leaning suburban electorate and the nominee’s primary performance across much of the state.** El-Sayed narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 4 after Mallory McMorrow withdrew and he edged Rep. Haley Stevens by under one point statewide, though Stevens carried Oakland by roughly seven points. In the general election matchup against former Rep. Mike Rogers, recent polls through mid-September show El-Sayed with a narrow statewide edge or statistical tie, reflecting voter priorities on the economy, healthcare, and affordability. Rogers has focused outreach on independents, older voters, and Jewish communities in Oakland County, citing El-Sayed’s progressive positions and past remarks on Israel, yet these efforts have not shifted broader polling or trader consensus enough to elevate Rogers’ county-level prospects. The race remains competitive with November 3 voting still weeks away, and turnout among suburban and independent blocs could influence the final county margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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