Colorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於255萬-270萬 51%
270萬-285萬 22%
240萬-255萬 19%
285萬至300萬 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於210萬
1%
210萬–225萬
4%
225萬-240萬
3%
240萬-255萬
19%
255萬-270萬
51%
270萬-285萬
22%
285萬至300萬
7%
300萬以上
1%
255萬-270萬 51%
270萬-285萬 22%
240萬-255萬 19%
285萬至300萬 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於210萬
$474 交易量
1%
210萬–225萬
$393 交易量
4%
225萬-240萬
$1,850 交易量
3%
240萬-255萬
$1,148 交易量
19%
255萬-270萬
$1,035 交易量
51%
270萬-285萬
$1,829 交易量
22%
285萬至300萬
$461 交易量
7%
300萬以上
$489 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
交易量
$7,679結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,679結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETColorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions